Geopolitics future

The United States will remain the dominant global superpower throughout the 21st century, and that the history of the 21st century will consist mainly of attempts by other world powers to challenge American dominance.




Second Cold War

In the 2010s, the conflict between the US and Islamic fundamentalists will die down, and a second Cold War, less extensive and shorter than the first, will take place between the United States and Russia. It will be characterized by Russian attempts to expand its sphere of influence into Central and Eastern Europe, coupled with a buildup of Russian military capabilities. During this period, Russia's military will pose a regional challenge to the United States. The United States will become a close ally to some Central and Eastern European countries, all of whom will be dedicated to resisting Russian geopolitical threats during this period. The United States will probably become a close ally of some Eastern European countries: Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, and Romania. Around 2015, a Polish-led military alliance of countries in Eastern Europe will begin to form, the "Polish Bloc."




Russian and Chinese fragmentation

In the early 2020s, the New Cold War will end when the economic strain and political pressure on Russia, coupled with Russia's declining population, and poor infrastructure, cause the Federal government of Russia to completely collapse, much like the Dissolution of the Soviet Union. Other former Soviet Union countries will fragment as well.

Around this time, mainland China (PRC) will politically and culturally fragment as well. The rapid economic development of China since 1980 will cause internal pressures and inequalities in Chinese society. Regional tension in the PRC will grow between the prosperous coastal regions and the impoverished interior. The end result will be regional fragmentation of the country. Although China will remain formally united, the central government will gradually lose much of its real power, with the provinces becoming increasingly autonomous.

In the 2020s, the collapse of the Russian government and the fragmentation of mainland China will leave Eurasia in general chaos. Other powers will then move in to annex or establish spheres of influence in the area, and in many cases, regional leaders will secede. In Russia, Chechnya and other Muslim regions, as well as the Pacific Far East will become independent, Finland will annex Karelia, Romania will annex Moldova, Tibet will gain independence with help from India, Taiwan will extend its influence into China, while the United States, European powers, and Japan will re-create regional spheres of influence in mainland China.




New Powers Arise

In the 2020s and 2030s, three main powers will emerge in Eurasia: Turkey, Poland, and Japan. Initially supported by the United States, Turkey will expand its sphere of influence and become a regional power, much as it was during the time of the Ottoman Empire. The Turkish sphere of influence will extend into the Arab world, which will have increasingly fragmented by then, and north into Russia and other former Soviet Union countries. Israel will continue to be a powerful nation and will be the only country in the immediate region to remain outside the Turkish sphere of influence. However, Israel will be forced to come to an accommodation with Turkey due to Turkey's military and political power.

Meanwhile, Japan will expand its economic influence to regions of coastal China, the Russian Far East, and many Pacific Islands. Japan will change its foreign policy during this time period, becoming more geopolitically aggressive, beginning a major military buildup. Japan will build military strength capable of regionally projecting power across East Asia during this time.

Finally, Poland will continue to lead its military alliance, the "Polish Bloc." Poland and its allies will be a major power, much like the time of the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth. Now possessing substantial military strength, Poland will expand its economic influence into what was formerly European Russia, and will begin to compete with Turkey for influence in the important economic region of the Volga River Valley. Around this time, space programs for military use will begin to emerge, and Japan and Turkey will increasingly begin to develop military capabilities in space.




Tensions build

At the beginning of this period, the United States will be allied with all three powers. By 2020, the United States will have been allied with Turkey and Japan for over 75 years. However, in the years after the end of the Second Cold War and collapse of Russia, the United States will gradually become uneasy as Turkey and Japan expand their military power and economic influence. Establishing regional spheres of influence, Turkey and Japan will begin to threaten American interests. The growth of Turkish and Japanese naval power, and their military activities in space will be particularly disturbing to the United States.

Japan and Turkey, having similar interests, will probably form an alliance near the end of this period, in an effort to counter the overwhelming global power of the United States. Germany and Mexico may possibly join this anti-United States coalition, although it is generally unlikely. In this coming confrontation, the United States will be allied with the "Polish Bloc," probably with a restabilized China, India, a reunified Korea, and the United Kingdom. By the 2040s, there will be global tension and competition between these two alliances.




Demographics change

Decades of low birthrates in developed countries, especially in Europe, will result in dramatic cultural, social, and political shifts through the first half of the 21st century. These countries will experience economic and social strain, caused by an increasingly smaller working age demographic and a rapidly aging population. As a result, in the decades of the 2020s and 2030s, Western nations will begin to compete for immigrants. In particular, the United States will depart from its policy of discouraging Mexican immigration, and will begin trying to entice foreigners - especially Mexicans - to immigrate to the United States.

However, later in the century, as robots begin phasing out jobs, massive unemployment will result, and the United States, suffering from a labor surplus, will move to limit immigration again.




Third World War

In the mid-21st century, around the year 2050, a Third World War will take place, between the United States, the "Polish Bloc," Britain, India, and China on one side, and Turkey and Japan on the other, with Germany and France entering the war in its late stages on the side of Turkey and Japan. According to the book, the war will probably be started by a coordinated Turkish-Japanese sneak attack against the United States and its allies. The attack will take place at a time in which the Americans will be taken completely off guard, and hypothesizes 5:00 p.m. on November 24, 2050 (Thanksgiving Day) as a potential time.

The Turkish-Japanese alliance's initial strike will cripple the military capabilities of the United States and its allies. The Turkish-Japanese alliance will then attempt to enter negotiations, demanding the United States accept the Turkish-Japanese's alliance's status as a fellow superpower. However, the United States will reject the terms and go to war, refusing to accept Turkish and Japanese hegemony over Eurasia. The Turkish-Japanese alliance will initially possess a military advantage after crippling the United States' military during its first strike. However, as the war progresses, the balance of power will begin to shift as the United States rebuilds and increases its military capabilities, and pioneers the use of new military technologies. The war will ultimately end with a victory by the United States and its allies.

The primary weapons of the war will be long-range hypersonic aircraft and infantrymen with highly sophisticated, powered body-armor. Control of space will be crucial over the course of the conflict, with space-based weapons systems and military bases on the Moon playing a significant role. The war will last about two or three years. The war will be a limited war, very different in its conduct than a total war, such as World War II of the 20th century. This will be due to the fact that all major powers involved in the conflict will possess nuclear weaponry, and that use of Precision Guided Munitions will minimize collateral damage. The war will cost somewhere around 500,000 lives.




Post War

Following the war, the United States will enjoy a new post-war boom that will begin in the 2050s following the war and last throughout the 2060s. The economic boom will come as a result of increased defense expenditures that lead to the development of new technologies, which will foster dramatic economic growth and increase American influence worldwide. In addition, the economic problems imposed by mass retirement of the baby boomers will fade away as the last of the boomers die.

The United States will continue to be militarily and politically dominant over the world, and will also cement its hegemony over space. In particular, it will work to keep other powers from developing military capabilities in space. Meanwhile, Turkey will retain the bulk of its sphere of influence, although its de facto empire will become increasingly restive as a result of defeat, while Japan will lose its own sphere of influence. Under the US-dictated treaty that will end World War III, military restrictions will be imposed on both Japan and Turkey, although in practice they will be unenforceable and "merely a gratuitous humiliation victors enjoy imposing on the vanquished".

Meanwhile, Poland's power will grow due to the expanded size of the Polish Bloc as a result of the war. Although its infrastructure and economy will have been shattered, and despite having suffered particularly heavy casualties, Poland will exploit the Polish Bloc's increased sphere of influence to rebuild its economy. The United States will begin to look at the Polish Bloc's growing strength as a potential future threat. To prevent Polish hegemony in Europe, the United States will ally with its former enemy Turkey, as well as Britain, to prevent Poland from dominating Europe, and will prevent Poland from making use of space for military purposes.




United States-Mexican conflict

North America will remain the center of gravity for the global economic and political system for at least a few more centuries following the 21st century. However, this does not guarantee that the United States will always dominate North America. In the decades following the war, starting in the 2070s, tensions between Mexico and the United States will rise. By this time, after decades of massive immigration, many parts of the United States, especially the South West, will become predominantly ethnically, culturally, and socially Mexican. During this period, many ethnic Mexicans living in the Southwestern United States, especially those living in the Mexican Cession, will increasingly shun assimilation into American culture, due to the fact that they will live in a predominantly Mexican region, as well as the close proximity of Mexico. These demographic changes will be irreversible. Most Mexicans in the US Southwest will identify as Mexicans rather than Americans, and their national loyalty will be to Mexico and not the United States. During this period, Mexico will experience substantial economic and population growth. By the end of the 21st century, Mexico's military and economic power will have grown tremendously, and it will be in a position to challenge the United States for dominance of North America. In addition to an insurgency by Mexican separatists, political, cultural, and military tensions between the United States and Mexico will rise, and generate into a full-blown confrontation.

An extended crisis between the United States and Mexico will ensue, one that the United States will be unable to resolve through the use of military force. Most of the world, wary of American dominance, will secretly hope for a Mexican victory, especially Poland and Brazil, but no other nation will directly interfere. The conflict will continue into the 22nd century.




Technological predictions

Among the technological predictions are the development of hypersonic aircraft and missiles, new space-based technology that will foster the development of military bases on the moon and manned military orbiting platforms ("Battle Stars"), and armored robotic battle suits for infantrymen that run on solar power. In addition, the earth will come to be powered by solar energy collected from satellites beaming the energy down in the form of radiation to receiving stations on earth, which will end dependence on hydrocarbons, and dramatic advances in robotics and genetic science will lead to a great increase in labor productivity, unemployment as robots phase out jobs, and significant increases in human longevity, including the possibility of a massive increase in longevity.

Didn't really read, but upvote for the effort.

Eshkruar nga Goblin, 07.06.2015 at 15:23

Didn't really read, but upvote for the effort.

If you just had read the upper right corner, you'd have seen that this post is supposed to be only the first out of three versions of the future

Eshkruar nga RaulPB, 07.06.2015 at 16:07

If you just had read the upper right corner, you'd have seen that this post is supposed to be only the first out of three versions of the future

I always said Tito had a talent for alternative history.

Guys don't be silly, we all know that in the near future the RP police will take over the world and kill all of those who made fun of RP

1) This is geopolitical future, not alternative history Bane.

2) There is no talent for predicting future. There is 'Prophecy of God's Will' (religious), 'Prophecy of Foreknowledge' (facts), and 'Conditional Prophecies' (scientific).

Im using foreknowledge and science to predict future. Current economic condition, current alliances, current relations between countries, their role in international affairs > if they continue like this > then future will be like this. But 'if' they change > then future is uncertain.

Eshkruar nga Skanderbeg, 07.06.2015 at 16:37

1) This is geopolitical future, not alternative history Bane.

2) There is no talent for predicting future. There is 'Prophecy of God's Will' (religious), 'Prophecy of Foreknowledge' (facts), and 'Conditional Prophecies' (scientific).

Im using foreknowledge and science intuition to predict future. Current economic condition, current alliances, current relations between countries, their role in international affairs > if they continue like this > then future will be like this. But 'if' they change > then future is uncertain.

I don't mind you trying to figure out what the future circumstances will be like, I find it rather interesting. But pls, pretty pls, do not mix science with this!!! I BEG YOU! Science has nothing to do with so called prophecies! Science can't predict the future unless it's something that we know that follows a certain physic's rule and that rule is fully understood. If not, the only thing you can do is use past evidence and statistics to try to predict when MIGHT something happen, it's just based probabilities after all! Never "prophecies", that's just bullshit. Science can't predict future.

You obviously dont know what science is.

Science is not only physics. Economy is science as well, politcs is science, military is science. Thats why we have tertiary education called 'Faculty of Economy', Political Science and Military Academy. Therefore, when i use economical science, i am not making mistake.

Prophecy is another word for prediction, it isnt only religious thing.

Eshkruar nga Skanderbeg, 07.06.2015 at 16:37

Im using foreknowledge and science to predict future. Current economic condition, current alliances, current relations between countries, their role in international affairs > if they continue like this > then future will be like this. But 'if' they change > then future is uncertain.

Basically, you are writing down all the possible outcomes and then if one of them comes true you will claim you predicted it ...and even so claim you predicted it by some foreknowledge... Anyone can do that.

Nice calling me Bane.

You are crazy!

Economics has, is and will always drive geopolitics.

The rise of Asian economies (South Korea and Taiwan before, China now, India later) is the single largest shift to the economic balance in the late 20th/early 21st century and there is absolutely no way that will not have far-reaching geopolitic consequences well into the late 21st century.

Unlike you, I do not claim to foresee the future. I am not that crazy.

The best I can to is make a few vague and uninteresting, yet so much more accurate claims.

1. The era of wars is over…

There are two clear trends of war starting from the beginning of the 20th Century. Predictions of various websites that try to predict future weaponry based on currently known physics imply that these trends are set the continue.

First, the growth of wartime civilian casualties outpace the growth of wartime military casualties. As far late as the Franco-Prussian War of 1871, war was something almost entirely conducted between armies, in this strip of land called the "battleground" or later the "front." However, strategic warfare, developed in the two world wars, aim at the destruction of civilian infrastructure and civilian lives.

Second, the increase in the power of weapons has outpaced the growth of the ability to defend from them. The heaviest weapon of the medieval era was the catapult. A few feet of stone walls could resist the catapult for days on end. The heaviest weapon of the early modern era was the breech-loading artillery. The heaviest fortifications had trouble resisting these artillery. Now we have this lovely thing called the nuclear bomb. The U.S. made tactical artillery shooting the stuff.

With those two developments, the doctrine of mutually assured destruction is set to continue. It is highly unlikely that any major country will consider war against another major country, unless they feel that their most vital interests, including their own existence, are directly threatened. In fact, it is quite probable that some less jingoistic countries might not even consider their existence to be an interest vital enough to justify war.

Barring a complete collapse of civil society, a world war three in the twenty first century can only really be caused by accident.

2. The era of Russia as a superpower is over.

The reason why Russia (or the Soviet Union) was so strong during the Cold War was because World War Two left a complete power vacuum in Central and Eastern Europe, which the Soviet Union was eager to capitalize on. This allowed them to easily build an empire, from which they derived their strength.

However, as the United States and Western Europe managed several decades of prosperity while the Warsaw Pact stagnated, the Soviet Empire eventually collapsed.

Now look at Russia. 2.5 trillion dollar economy, 150 million population, few meaningful allies. Unless somebody creates another power vacuum at a convenient location and time for them to exploit, there is no way Russia can push itself back to a superpower. The current crisis at Ukraine is, as I see it, the last ditch effort of the Russian regime to try and retain the last bits of their old Soviet power, before that decays too.

3. Meet the new global hyper-power - the People's Republic of China.

China sits on the largest pool of manpower on this planet and its economy is set to become the biggest in the world no later than midcentury. Indeed, by some metrics it already is. In the age of peace (see no. 1), economic realities will drive geopolitics more than ever. As China grows, companies around the world will push their governments to FTA agreements and closer economic ties with China, as trade with them will be more profitable. China is set to dominate East Asia also. Not only will the Chinese economy completely overpower the South Korean and Japanese one, historical relationships between the three countries imply that Japan will be the odd one out. South Korea and China has some historic disputes, but that can be repaired far easily than Shinzo Abe's historical revisionism can.

China also sits on its own private energy supply (coal reserves) that will supply it for at least the next few decades, is already powerful enough to keep itself stable and is set to grow even more powerful, dominates the fertile farmland of East Asia and has the manpower and economic power to build itself the world's strongest military. Although it is unlikely that this will be used against another superpower in the 21st century, it will serve very nicely to intimidate small countries nearby.

India may challenge China's position as a global superpower near the end of the century, as its economy too develops, but its growth is considerably less certain, India being less stable, socially, politically, economically and diplomatically, than China is. The world's strongest superpower in 2100 will be China or India. Barring utterly ludicrous events, like another devastating world war or the discovery of new, cheap and plentiful energy sources within Europe or North America, the world's strongest superpower in 2050 will be China.

4. The Old West is no longer as important.

Here is the United Nation's 2050 population predictions, very roughly summarized.

1 billion in the Americas,
1 billion in Europe,
2 billion in Africa, and
5 billion in Asia.

Note that "the old west," compromising North America and that part of Europe under Catholic or Protestant influence, will only be a little over one billion people. If the United States and the current European Union manage to unite into a coherent and united power block, that will be strong enough to maintain their position as the dominant global superpower in 2050. I find this eventuality highly unlikely. Either the European Union will fail to unite further (right now the European Union has very little actual power - all the power is in the individual states) or they will alienate themselves from the United States. Possibly both.

The 2100 population prediction changes nothing.

1 billion in the Americas,
1 billion in Europe,
4 billion in Africa, and
5 billion in Asia.

Europe and Africa are both fragmented into truly tiny pieces (for example, the only European country with a 9-figure population is Russia despite Europe having almost a billion people and the most populous African state has 184 of Africa's 1120 million people - a measly 17 percent.. In comparison, Asia has two 10-figure population countries and one 9-figure country and North America has 2 9-figure countries). This means the most stable power blocs will be in the Americas or Asia.

I think the above population figures clearly demonstrate which of those continents are most likely to be dominant over the other. Currently, three centers of global economy exists. Once centered around New England in the United States, one centered in South England, the Low Countries and the Rhineland in Europe and one centered around Japan, South Korea and Eastern China. I'm very certain that the first two will slowly fade away as the 21st Century progresses. By 2100, they might even be surpassed by regions that are not currently financial centers, such as the area around South Brazil and northern Argentina.

5. The American Empire is set to fall.

I think the collapse of the Soviet Union amply demonstrates what happens to empires whose core doesn't have the economic power to back up the empire.

6. Resource shortages will dominate geopolitics

By the late 21st Century, several industrial resources are set to be in severe shortages. Economic reality will depend on who controls the resources and geopolitics always depends on economic reality. It's probably unlikely that this will happen soon enough to prevent China's rise to hegemony, but it probably will happen soon enough to affect geopolitics heavily in the second half of the century.

See how the Middle Eastern countries are just pawns in the superpowers' game for oil? Imagine every country in the world as a pawn in the superpowers' game to secure resources to feed its industry.

7. Welcome to the era of robotics and mass unemployment

By 2050 at the latest, there will be very few things that can be done by people but not by machines. Machines are cheaper, doesn't eat difficult-to-grow agricultural resources, doesn't complain about working conditions and hours, doesn't form unions, doesn't whine about the minimum wage….

Up to that point, growth will be dominated by population. Afterwards, economic growth will be freed from the limits of population.

It also creates a social problem of mass unemployment. Never in the history of humanity did we have a situation where the majority of the population was unemployed. We will. How societies deal with that problem will likely shape their social structure in the decades to come.

Eshkruar nga Goblin, 07.06.2015 at 17:33

Basically, you are writing down all the possible outcomes and then if one of them comes true you will claim you predicted it ...and even so claim you predicted it by some foreknowledge... Anyone can do that.

We already know who will win - American bloc or Russian bloc. We dont know what will happen until one of them lose or win.

I didnt write all possible outcomes, but only three of them, using science, facts and current statistics. There are thousands outcomes.

Yes, anyone can do that, its not hard.

Eshkruar nga International, 07.06.2015 at 20:07

Unlike you, I do not claim to foresee the future. I am not that crazy.

You are crazy!

Economics has, is and will always drive geopolitics.

The rise of Asian economies (South Korea and Taiwan before, China now, India later) is the single largest shift to the economic balance in the late 20th/early 21st century and there is absolutely no way that will not have far-reaching geopolitic consequences well into the late 21st century.

I can foresee future using science like economy or politics(international affairs). Thats not gypsy magic. You are just too ignorant to understand that.

The country is most vulnerable when they reform or change system. Like Russian Federation 1990-2040 or China 1980-2030. They will both need 20-30 more years to establish and run new systems they switched to. It cant happen over night.

During that time their system is very vulnerable like personal computer from viruses. Their economy can easily collapse, their military disobey and politics go corrupt.

Example: Yugoslavia - switched to free market in 1989 but collapsed nontheless because politics failed which left economy without protection so crime ate it.
Same with China: if their politics fail, their economy will be left without protection(laws/regulations/assured competition), crime will rise and society will lose morale.

There is external threat (US) which is exploiting gaps and these changes to gain advantage, which further tend to destabilize Nations in reform - Geopolitics.

Eshkruar nga Skanderbeg, 07.06.2015 at 17:25

Science is not only physics. Economy is science as well, politcs is science, military is science.

Economics isn't a science, they use maths in order to calculate their own stuff. Military uses physics laws and chemical knoledge in order to improve their weapons. They use real science for their own interests, that's all. Politics, a science? Yeah right. That's just pure rhetorics.

Eshkruar nga Skanderbeg, 07.06.2015 at 15:15

Version 1/3

The United States will remain the dominant global superpower throughout the 21st century, and that the history of the 21st century will consist mainly of attempts by other world powers to challenge American dominance.




Second Cold War

In the 2010s, the conflict between the US and Islamic fundamentalists will die down, and a second Cold War, less extensive and shorter than the first, will take place between the United States and Russia. It will be characterized by Russian attempts to expand its sphere of influence into Central and Eastern Europe, coupled with a buildup of Russian military capabilities. During this period, Russia's military will pose a regional challenge to the United States. The United States will become a close ally to some Central and Eastern European countries, all of whom will be dedicated to resisting Russian geopolitical threats during this period. The United States will probably become a close ally of some Eastern European countries: Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, and Romania. Around 2015, a Polish-led military alliance of countries in Eastern Europe will begin to form, the "Polish Bloc."




Russian and Chinese fragmentation

In the early 2020s, the New Cold War will end when the economic strain and political pressure on Russia, coupled with Russia's declining population, and poor infrastructure, cause the Federal government of Russia to completely collapse, much like the Dissolution of the Soviet Union. Other former Soviet Union countries will fragment as well.

Around this time, mainland China (PRC) will politically and culturally fragment as well. The rapid economic development of China since 1980 will cause internal pressures and inequalities in Chinese society. Regional tension in the PRC will grow between the prosperous coastal regions and the impoverished interior. The end result will be regional fragmentation of the country. Although China will remain formally united, the central government will gradually lose much of its real power, with the provinces becoming increasingly autonomous.

In the 2020s, the collapse of the Russian government and the fragmentation of mainland China will leave Eurasia in general chaos. Other powers will then move in to annex or establish spheres of influence in the area, and in many cases, regional leaders will secede. In Russia, Chechnya and other Muslim regions, as well as the Pacific Far East will become independent, Finland will annex Karelia, Romania will annex Moldova, Tibet will gain independence with help from India, Taiwan will extend its influence into China, while the United States, European powers, and Japan will re-create regional spheres of influence in mainland China.




New Powers Arise

In the 2020s and 2030s, three main powers will emerge in Eurasia: Turkey, Poland, and Japan. Initially supported by the United States, Turkey will expand its sphere of influence and become a regional power, much as it was during the time of the Ottoman Empire. The Turkish sphere of influence will extend into the Arab world, which will have increasingly fragmented by then, and north into Russia and other former Soviet Union countries. Israel will continue to be a powerful nation and will be the only country in the immediate region to remain outside the Turkish sphere of influence. However, Israel will be forced to come to an accommodation with Turkey due to Turkey's military and political power.

Meanwhile, Japan will expand its economic influence to regions of coastal China, the Russian Far East, and many Pacific Islands. Japan will change its foreign policy during this time period, becoming more geopolitically aggressive, beginning a major military buildup. Japan will build military strength capable of regionally projecting power across East Asia during this time.

Finally, Poland will continue to lead its military alliance, the "Polish Bloc." Poland and its allies will be a major power, much like the time of the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth. Now possessing substantial military strength, Poland will expand its economic influence into what was formerly European Russia, and will begin to compete with Turkey for influence in the important economic region of the Volga River Valley. Around this time, space programs for military use will begin to emerge, and Japan and Turkey will increasingly begin to develop military capabilities in space.




Tensions build

At the beginning of this period, the United States will be allied with all three powers. By 2020, the United States will have been allied with Turkey and Japan for over 75 years. However, in the years after the end of the Second Cold War and collapse of Russia, the United States will gradually become uneasy as Turkey and Japan expand their military power and economic influence. Establishing regional spheres of influence, Turkey and Japan will begin to threaten American interests. The growth of Turkish and Japanese naval power, and their military activities in space will be particularly disturbing to the United States.

Japan and Turkey, having similar interests, will probably form an alliance near the end of this period, in an effort to counter the overwhelming global power of the United States. Germany and Mexico may possibly join this anti-United States coalition, although it is generally unlikely. In this coming confrontation, the United States will be allied with the "Polish Bloc," probably with a restabilized China, India, a reunified Korea, and the United Kingdom. By the 2040s, there will be global tension and competition between these two alliances.




Demographics change

Decades of low birthrates in developed countries, especially in Europe, will result in dramatic cultural, social, and political shifts through the first half of the 21st century. These countries will experience economic and social strain, caused by an increasingly smaller working age demographic and a rapidly aging population. As a result, in the decades of the 2020s and 2030s, Western nations will begin to compete for immigrants. In particular, the United States will depart from its policy of discouraging Mexican immigration, and will begin trying to entice foreigners - especially Mexicans - to immigrate to the United States.

However, later in the century, as robots begin phasing out jobs, massive unemployment will result, and the United States, suffering from a labor surplus, will move to limit immigration again.




Third World War

In the mid-21st century, around the year 2050, a Third World War will take place, between the United States, the "Polish Bloc," Britain, India, and China on one side, and Turkey and Japan on the other, with Germany and France entering the war in its late stages on the side of Turkey and Japan. According to the book, the war will probably be started by a coordinated Turkish-Japanese sneak attack against the United States and its allies. The attack will take place at a time in which the Americans will be taken completely off guard, and hypothesizes 5:00 p.m. on November 24, 2050 (Thanksgiving Day) as a potential time.

The Turkish-Japanese alliance's initial strike will cripple the military capabilities of the United States and its allies. The Turkish-Japanese alliance will then attempt to enter negotiations, demanding the United States accept the Turkish-Japanese's alliance's status as a fellow superpower. However, the United States will reject the terms and go to war, refusing to accept Turkish and Japanese hegemony over Eurasia. The Turkish-Japanese alliance will initially possess a military advantage after crippling the United States' military during its first strike. However, as the war progresses, the balance of power will begin to shift as the United States rebuilds and increases its military capabilities, and pioneers the use of new military technologies. The war will ultimately end with a victory by the United States and its allies.

The primary weapons of the war will be long-range hypersonic aircraft and infantrymen with highly sophisticated, powered body-armor. Control of space will be crucial over the course of the conflict, with space-based weapons systems and military bases on the Moon playing a significant role. The war will last about two or three years. The war will be a limited war, very different in its conduct than a total war, such as World War II of the 20th century. This will be due to the fact that all major powers involved in the conflict will possess nuclear weaponry, and that use of Precision Guided Munitions will minimize collateral damage. The war will cost somewhere around 500,000 lives.




Post War

Following the war, the United States will enjoy a new post-war boom that will begin in the 2050s following the war and last throughout the 2060s. The economic boom will come as a result of increased defense expenditures that lead to the development of new technologies, which will foster dramatic economic growth and increase American influence worldwide. In addition, the economic problems imposed by mass retirement of the baby boomers will fade away as the last of the boomers die.

The United States will continue to be militarily and politically dominant over the world, and will also cement its hegemony over space. In particular, it will work to keep other powers from developing military capabilities in space. Meanwhile, Turkey will retain the bulk of its sphere of influence, although its de facto empire will become increasingly restive as a result of defeat, while Japan will lose its own sphere of influence. Under the US-dictated treaty that will end World War III, military restrictions will be imposed on both Japan and Turkey, although in practice they will be unenforceable and "merely a gratuitous humiliation victors enjoy imposing on the vanquished".

Meanwhile, Poland's power will grow due to the expanded size of the Polish Bloc as a result of the war. Although its infrastructure and economy will have been shattered, and despite having suffered particularly heavy casualties, Poland will exploit the Polish Bloc's increased sphere of influence to rebuild its economy. The United States will begin to look at the Polish Bloc's growing strength as a potential future threat. To prevent Polish hegemony in Europe, the United States will ally with its former enemy Turkey, as well as Britain, to prevent Poland from dominating Europe, and will prevent Poland from making use of space for military purposes.




United States-Mexican conflict

North America will remain the center of gravity for the global economic and political system for at least a few more centuries following the 21st century. However, this does not guarantee that the United States will always dominate North America. In the decades following the war, starting in the 2070s, tensions between Mexico and the United States will rise. By this time, after decades of massive immigration, many parts of the United States, especially the South West, will become predominantly ethnically, culturally, and socially Mexican. During this period, many ethnic Mexicans living in the Southwestern United States, especially those living in the Mexican Cession, will increasingly shun assimilation into American culture, due to the fact that they will live in a predominantly Mexican region, as well as the close proximity of Mexico. These demographic changes will be irreversible. Most Mexicans in the US Southwest will identify as Mexicans rather than Americans, and their national loyalty will be to Mexico and not the United States. During this period, Mexico will experience substantial economic and population growth. By the end of the 21st century, Mexico's military and economic power will have grown tremendously, and it will be in a position to challenge the United States for dominance of North America. In addition to an insurgency by Mexican separatists, political, cultural, and military tensions between the United States and Mexico will rise, and generate into a full-blown confrontation.

An extended crisis between the United States and Mexico will ensue, one that the United States will be unable to resolve through the use of military force. Most of the world, wary of American dominance, will secretly hope for a Mexican victory, especially Poland and Brazil, but no other nation will directly interfere. The conflict will continue into the 22nd century.




Technological predictions

Among the technological predictions are the development of hypersonic aircraft and missiles, new space-based technology that will foster the development of military bases on the moon and manned military orbiting platforms ("Battle Stars"), and armored robotic battle suits for infantrymen that run on solar power. In addition, the earth will come to be powered by solar energy collected from satellites beaming the energy down in the form of radiation to receiving stations on earth, which will end dependence on hydrocarbons, and dramatic advances in robotics and genetic science will lead to a great increase in labor productivity, unemployment as robots phase out jobs, and significant increases in human longevity, including the possibility of a massive increase in longevity.

you on drugs?

Eshkruar nga Nations, 08.06.2015 at 06:47

you on drugs?

#Learn2Quote

Eshkruar nga RaulPB, 08.06.2015 at 06:13

Economics isn't a science, they use maths in order to calculate their own stuff. Military uses physics laws and chemical knoledge in order to improve their weapons. They use real science for their own interests, that's all. Politics, a science? Yeah right. That's just pure rhetorics.

Hmm, i see your problem now, you deny things you think are different in your head. I cant help you there.

Economy is categorized as science, military and politics as well. We developed these topics into studies and definitions which generations learn on faculties, academies and universities for the last 200 years at least.

You have right to deny and renounce that, but you are going against 7 billion people and well established norms in society. You are becoming Unleashed.

Eshkruar nga RaulPB, 08.06.2015 at 06:55

Eshkruar nga Nations, 08.06.2015 at 06:47

you on drugs?

#Learn2Quote

i am noob i guess

Eshkruar nga Skanderbeg, 08.06.2015 at 06:56

You have right to deny and renounce that, but you are going against 7 billion people and well established norms in society. You are becoming Unleashed.

You may say what you like, people can consider what they want as science as well. But one thing is for sure, you can not compare me physics and chemestry with politics, economics and military, all based on probabilities, opinions and analisis of past events... they do not make discoveries nor try to advance in the understanding of the world, they just use other real sciences for their benefit and apply them in their circumstances.

All those guys are mere mathematicians, psycologists, chemists and physicists.

Eshkruar nga Skanderbeg, 08.06.2015 at 04:53

I can foresee future using science like economy or politics(international affairs). Thats not gypsy magic. You are just too ignorant to understand that.

The country is most vulnerable when they reform or change system. Like Russian Federation 1990-2040 or China 1980-2030. They will both need 20-30 more years to establish and run new systems they switched to. It cant happen over night.

During that time their system is very vulnerable like personal computer from viruses. Their economy can easily collapse, their military disobey and politics go corrupt.

Example: Yugoslavia - switched to free market in 1989 but collapsed nontheless because politics failed which left economy without protection so crime ate it.
Same with China: if their politics fail, their economy will be left without protection(laws/regulations/assured competition), crime will rise and society will lose morale.

There is external threat (US) which is exploiting gaps and these changes to gain advantage, which further tend to destabilize Nations in reform - Geopolitics.

The specifics of geopolitics is very difficult to predict. There are far more variables than you are taking into account.

Geopolitics is like a cloud of gas in the sense that it is made of very many parts, all of which interact with every other part in some way. The general behavior of the mass of molecules can be predicted very accurately to very high precision. The behavior of each gas molecule, however, is basically unknown. Nothing beyond general trends can be predicted accurately.

China has already switched fairly well into the new system. It is very well organized. China's age of chaos is already well past.

The United States will definitely not be exploiting economic gaps in China. Political and military gaps, yes. Economic gaps, no. A rich, prosperous and still weak China is in the best interests of the United States. A trading partner, that is, not a diplomatic rival.

To do that, they need China's economy intact. They also need China to be coherent enough to keep the economy from collapsing.

Surely the 2008 recession is evidence enough that a collapse in one corner of the world is a collapse in all corners of the world.

Eshkruar nga RaulPB, 08.06.2015 at 07:02

You may say what you like, people can consider what they want as science as well. But one thing is for sure, you can not compare me physics and chemestry with politics, economics and military, all based on probabilities, opinions and analisis of past events... they do not make discoveries nor try to advance in the understanding of the world, they just use other real sciences for their benefit and apply them in their circumstances.

If you think like that, then i can say i consider chemistry and physics non-science fields, as they rely on probabilities and theories. There are no discoveries in phyics and chemistry, only accidently point of view on things like accidently seen something under the microscope or found artefact in nature, then you bring that back to laboratory, mark it some number and you think thats science.

See how i used your style of typing against you.

You cant pick things that suits you and use them against others. And you are doing that in almost every topic and subject.

Eshkruar nga Skanderbeg, 08.06.2015 at 07:11

If you think like that, then i can say i consider chemistry and physics non-science fields, as they rely on probabilities and theories. There are no discoveries in phyics and chemistry, only accidently point of view on things like accidently seen something under the microscope or found artefact in nature, then you bring that back to laboratory, mark it some number and you think thats science.

WHAT!? WHAAAAAAAAAAAAT?????????
100000/10 troll you must be the chief of the trolling science!

It's a good thing world events don't follow tito's will

Eshkruar nga RaulPB, 08.06.2015 at 07:34

WHAT!? WHAAAAAAAAAAAAT?????????
100000/10 troll you must be the chief of the trolling science!

I pointed out how you troll, now you try to blame me for trolling, nice try.

You deny science and then call me chief of trolling science.

Sad.

---

I will stop talking to you from now on, no point giving attention to another troll in this community. I tried to be nice and patient with you, but you are too insolent and arrogant.

Eshkruar nga Skanderbeg, 08.06.2015 at 07:50

I pointed out how you troll, now you try to blame me for trolling, nice try.
You deny science and then call me chief of trolling science.
Sad.

LOL
There's no point in talking to a troll, we both agree on that right?? Then I should not talk to you... I deny science??? Really? XDDD I'm a fucking scientist, you're just blind or a troll, there's no other explantion for this XD

Eshkruar nga Skanderbeg, 08.06.2015 at 07:50

I will stop talking to you from now on, no point giving attention to another troll in this community. I tried to be nice and patient with you, but you are too insolent and arrogant.

I kinda agree, I might be arrogant, but because I can afford being arrogant when it comes to science since I kinda know what I'm talking about. If I'm being rude, I'll apologize for that but I can't accept any of your logic, it's rather ilogical! It just makes me rage, cry or laugh.

Eshkruar nga Skanderbeg, 08.06.2015 at 07:50

chemistry and physics non-science fields, as they rely on probabilities and theories

This quote is worth gold!!

Eshkruar nga RaulPB, 08.06.2015 at 08:45

Eshkruar nga Skanderbeg, 08.06.2015 at 07:50

chemistry and physics non-science fields, as they rely on probabilities and theories

This quote is worth gold!!

Maybe you dont see, let me bold it for you:

Eshkruar nga Skanderbeg, 08.06.2015 at 07:50

See how i used your style of typing against you.

I didnt mean what i typed, i only used your way of commenting on things. And you say i trolled which mean you admit you trolled

Eshkruar nga RaulPB, 08.06.2015 at 06:13

Economics isn't a science

This quote worth gold.

So much about you being scientist, you dont know science basics

I am a scientist in everything when online, i possess infinte knowledge when debating...

Eshkruar nga Skanderbeg, 08.06.2015 at 09:16

See how i used your style of typing against you.

So much about you being scientist, you dont know science basics

lol and still don't see how is that my "style of typing" according to you XD

And heck yeah, economics is just applied maths, maths is the real science behind it, economists just wanna have a nice title on their shelves. Economic science is like an euphemism.

Eshkruar nga Tirpitz406, 08.06.2015 at 09:40

I am a scientist in everything when online, i possess infinte knowledge when debating...

I will come to you once I have doubts with my thesis, be ready

Science is anti god.

Eshkruar nga theFuehrer, 08.06.2015 at 11:03

Science is anti god.

I wouldn't say that... I'd say science is anti religion, since they're the ones that say all the crap stuff. God has no fault, he didn't know what was he giving birth to